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class="yuccubldi9f" id="location"> <span>本頁(yè)位置：</span><font color=ffffff><a href="/home.shtml"><font color=ffffff>首頁(yè)</font></a> → <a href="/index.shtml"><font color=ffffff>新聞中心</font></a> → </font><a href=/economic.html><font color=ffffff>經(jīng)濟新聞</font></a> </div> <div class="yuccubldi9f" id="newsContent"> <div class="yuccubldi9f" id="newstext"> <div class="yuccubldi9f" id="pageOp">【<a href="#" onClick="ad0.style.fontSize='20px';">放大字體</a>】【<a href="#" onClick="ad0.style.fontSize='12px';">縮小字體</a>】</div> <div id="yuccubldi9f" class="title0">A股市盈率低于上輪熊市底部?jì)沙?/div> <hr /> <div>2008年11月05日 11:10 來(lái)源：證券時(shí)報 <span id="yuccubldi9f" class="style3"><a target="_blank"><img src="/fileftp/2007/12/2007-12-13/U31P4T47D7993F967DT20071213101145.gif" width="14" height="14" border=0 /> <span id="yuccubldi9f" class="style3">發(fā)表評論 </span></a></span> </div> <hr /> <div class="yuccubldi9f" id="content" class="cStyle0">  </div> <div id="yuccubldi9f" class="slice"></div> <div class="yuccubldi9f" id="ad0" class="font16Style"><p>　　周二深滬兩市股指均創(chuàng )下調整以來(lái)的收盤(pán)新低，上證指數已經(jīng)3個(gè)交易日連收新低，令市場(chǎng)估值水平再度下探。根據證券時(shí)報信息部最新統計，昨日，A股市場(chǎng)的平均市盈率為12.62倍、平均市凈率1.95倍，滬市兩率分別為12.42倍、1.96倍，深市為13.67倍、1.87倍。兩市市盈率比上輪熊市底部還要低兩成。 </p> <p>　　<strong>估值：已處歷史最低位</strong></p> <p>　　本報信息部以上市公司三季報財務(wù)數據為藍本，計算當下A股市場(chǎng)的平均估值發(fā)現，當前的市盈率和市凈率的估值水平已處于歷史低位，市盈率水平更是早已創(chuàng )出歷史新低。從市凈率水平來(lái)看，除食品飲料行業(yè)等少數行業(yè)外，目前大部分行業(yè)遠低于歷史平均水平，金融行業(yè)目前的市凈率已處于歷史最低水平。除金融行業(yè)外，其他行業(yè)的最低市凈率水平均在2005年產(chǎn)生。</p> <p>　　2005年6月3日，上證指數盤(pán)中探至998點(diǎn)，報收1013點(diǎn)，是上輪熊市最低收盤(pán)的一天，當時(shí)滬深A股市盈率為16.19倍，比現在的A股市盈率約高兩成多。2007年10月16日，上證指數突破6000點(diǎn)時(shí)，滬深A股市盈率為81.02倍、上證50成分股為63.7倍、滬深300成分股為67.62倍。牛熊輪轉，目前市盈率僅為去年歷史高點(diǎn)時(shí)的一成半。</p> <p>　　另外，我們通過(guò)對比歷次熊市低點(diǎn)時(shí)的估值指標可以發(fā)現，目前A股平均市盈率已經(jīng)處于歷史最低水平，市凈率也已處于歷史低位。</p> <p>　　一、1993-1994年的調整行情中：滬指最高點(diǎn)1558點(diǎn)與最低點(diǎn)325點(diǎn)對比跌幅約為79%，低點(diǎn)時(shí)平均市盈率為16.43倍、市凈率為1.81倍；二、1994-1996年的寬幅震蕩筑底行情中：滬指最高點(diǎn)1052點(diǎn)與最低點(diǎn)512點(diǎn)對比跌幅約為51%，低點(diǎn)的平均市盈率為19.93倍、市凈率為2.44倍；三、2001-2005年的大調整行情中：滬指最高點(diǎn)2245點(diǎn)與最低點(diǎn)998點(diǎn)對比跌幅約為56%，低點(diǎn)的市盈率為17.66倍、市凈率為1.70倍。而在這輪調整行情中，最大跌幅已超過(guò)70%，A股平均市盈率降至12.62倍、平均市凈率約為1.95倍。</p> <p>　　<strong>均價(jià)：與上輪底部接近</strong></p> <p>　　A股市場(chǎng)的整體股價(jià)水平也大幅下降。截至昨日收盤(pán)，全部A股的算術(shù)平均股價(jià)已經(jīng)大幅回落到5.95元，相比2007年12月30日的20.23元，只有3折了。此時(shí)距離A股平均股價(jià)今年8月中旬跌破10元大關(guān)，不過(guò)兩個(gè)多月。</p> <p>　　11月4日，A股收盤(pán)最低價(jià)個(gè)股為*ST廈華1.12元，最高為貴州茅臺89.82元。不過(guò)，市場(chǎng)第二高價(jià)股張裕A僅收在43.62元，還不到貴州茅臺股價(jià)的一半，A股的50元至80元的區間則是空白。</p> <p>　　從上證指數5500點(diǎn)時(shí)(1月14日)的21.96元，到4000點(diǎn)時(shí)(3月13日)的18.39元，再到3000點(diǎn)時(shí)(6月11日)的11.73元，平均股價(jià)下降迅速。而自跌破3000點(diǎn)后，這種“降價(jià)”動(dòng)作進(jìn)一步加速，2500點(diǎn)(8月11日)時(shí)，A股均價(jià)還只是跌破10元關(guān)口，目前已再度慘遭腰斬。股價(jià)重心的迅速下移，凸現市場(chǎng)仍處下跌大趨勢中。</p> <p>　　目前，低價(jià)股是市場(chǎng)的主流。我們看看A股價(jià)格分布區間：5元以下個(gè)股為1019只、5元至10元個(gè)股為417只、10元以上個(gè)股只有166只，20元以上僅有32只，曾經(jīng)的百元股群體，如今已無(wú)一家。同時(shí)，昨日收盤(pán)4元以下的所謂3元股群體更是多達766只。今年4月17日，3元股才重現江湖，那時(shí)只有3只3元股，到6月中旬這個(gè)數量也只擴容了10倍，到現在已經(jīng)擴容了200多倍。</p> <p>　　昨日兩市1元股已達60只，今年第一只1元股*ST梅雁出現，也是在不久前的8月28日，短短兩個(gè)月1元股陣營(yíng)迅速擴容。值得關(guān)注的是，上輪熊市最低點(diǎn)位時(shí)市場(chǎng)充斥著(zhù)大量的兩元股，還有很多1元股，1元股的數量為65家，有一家公司的股價(jià)低于1元，這一點(diǎn)與目前已然相似。</p> <p>　　相比之下，略可使投資者心安的是，如果絕對股價(jià)的“慘狀”是底部特征之一，那么目前離之已近。根據WIND資訊統計，上證指數盤(pán)中探998點(diǎn)的那天A股平均股價(jià)是4.62元，只比目前A股平均股價(jià)低3成。(記者羅峰) </div> <div class="yuccubldi9f" id="partner"></div> <div class="yuccubldi9f" id="editor">【<font color=CC0000>編輯:</font>藍玉貴】</div> <div 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